New York Giants – Under 7.5 (-115)
Some of the NFL talking heads have been high on the New York Giants this season. We just don’t get it. Here is a team that somehow pulled off being 31st in the league in both passing offense AND rushing offense while scoring 15.2 points per game. Their top 2 wide receivers scored a total of zero touchdowns. (How is that possible!?) In their final 6 games – all losses – they averaged 9 points per game. While division rival Dallas averaged 31 points per game, the Giants didn’t reach 30 once in 2022. Damn!
We see the Giants picking up where they left off last season and having a tough time being competitive. We don’t see Daniel Jones as a legit NFL starter. Saquon Barkley has dropped off dramatically since his rookie season and while there is some talent on defense, the secondary has holes.
The New York Football Giants have won 6 or fewer games in seven of the last eight years. We see a last place finish for the Giants in the NFL East, and we’d be shocked to see the Giants go over a total of 7 wins.
Arizona Cardinals – Under 9 (-110)
While the aforementioned Giants look to have continued struggles on offense this season, the Arizona Cardinals look to take a big step back on defense. The Cardinals lose 2 of their top defenders from last year in franchise sack leader Chandler Jones and linebacker Jordan Hicks.
Pro Football Focus ranks their defensive line and secondary 27th in the NFL and their linebackers 30th. Simply put, that ain’t good. Add to the mix the Cardinals’ best player WR DeAndre Hopkins won’t be on the field until Week 7 due to a PED suspension, the Cardinals will be hard pressed to emulate their fast starts of the past. The bizarre contract stipulation that Kyler Murray needs to do more film study doesn’t help matters either.
Humiliating your franchise QB doesn’t seem like the best idea to get the season started. We feel like all of this is a recipe for a down year for Arizona and under 8.5 wins looks like a good bet.
Miami Dolphins – Under 9.5 (+105)
Who are the Miami Dolphins? Are they the team that started 2021 with 7 losses and a one point win? Or are they the squad that went 8-1 to close out the campaign? We feel it’s a bit more of the former. Miami scored arguably the biggest free agent “get’ in the off season with the signing of former Chief superstar Tyreek Hill.
We wonder though if this is a good landing spot for a player with his skill set. Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes knew how to get the ball to Hill. Can first year head coach Mike McDaniel and QB Tua Tagovailoa do the same? Tua has struggled with the deep ball and seems much more comfortable with the underneath game as opposed to pushing it downfield.
While Miami’s secondary boasts some top talent, the edge rushers and linebackers are average. The offensive line, especially in protection, has been at the bottom of grade rankings for several years. The addition of Terron Armstead will help – if he can stay healthy.
This Dolphin team may actually be improved from the ’21 team but not be able to reach nine wins again. The schedule is tougher this year and we just are not sold on Tagovailoa. We won’t be surprised to see the Fish Fans calling for local product Teddy Bridgewater before midseason. We’ll take under 9 as the Dolphins finish with a losing record.