Dalvin Cook (Vikings) OVER 73.5 rushing yards (-113)
In seven career games against the Lions, Dalvin Cook has averaged a total of 105 rushing yards per game. In their first meeting this season, Cook rushed 17 times for 96 yards. Many people are viewing this as a “trap game” for the 10-2 Vikings… and they may be right… but the best way to prevent that is to have their All-Pro back run it 20+ times. Cook has averaged 20 carries a game in his last four meetings (all Vikings wins). If he gets to 20 carries in this one, this number is way too low. We’re taking this over 73.5 rushing yards prop at BetOnline.
Christian McCaffrey (49ers) OVER 13.5 carries (-140)
Christian McCaffrey practiced again Thursday and looks to be in the clear for Sunday’s tilt with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. CMC dealt with an injury designation last week but then carried the ball 17 times, which was 66% of the team’s running back carries. With Brock Purdy lined up to take another start and facing a Buccaneers offense that will never force the 49ers to abandon the run, McCaffrey should have another heavy workload rushing this week. You can find CMC’s over 13.5 carries at MyBookie.
James Conner (Cardinals) UNDER 60.5 rushing yards (-115)
James Conner has struggled as the Cardinals’ lead back this season and has been held under this rushing line in seven of his nine appearances this season, averaging just over 52 rushing yards per game. New England has surrendered the fifth-fewest rushing yards to opposing RBs this season. This is an unfavorable matchup for Conner, and the Patriots have been a very tough run defense. The Patriots are very good at reining in rushing production, and we expect Conner to struggle on the ground. Bet his under 60.5 rushing yards prop at Bovada Sportsbook.
Tyler Lockett (Seahawks) SCORES AT LEAST 1 TD (+125)
Tyler Lockett has scored a touchdown in five straight games, and while DK Metcalf is the most-targeted WR in the league near the goal line, Lockett is scoring on plays outside the red zone. His 5 TDs in the last five games have included scores of 21, 33, 35, and 36 yards. When Seattle gets to a certain spot on the field and Tyler Lockett is single-covered, QB Geno Smith throws up 50/50 deep balls… which are more like 80/20 balls when Lockett is involved. Streaks always come to an end, but at home, the Panthers likely won’t be the team that shuts him down. Take the chance at plus money and bet on Lockett to score a TD at BetOnline.
Mike Evans (Buccaneers) OVER 50.5 receiving yards (-114)
Mike Evans was only targeted four times last week but still managed to eclipse his current Week 14 total of 50.5 receiving yards. A total this low seems like quite the overreaction, and we are expecting the Bucs to play catch-up for the majority of the game, forcing Brady to stretch the field and connect with his best deep ball threat. Even in a down season, Evans has gone over 50.5 receiving yards in eight of 11 games this season. Look for the star wideout to have his looks doubled and cash the over for us on Sunday at MyBookie.