Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) OVER 321.5 Passing Yards (-125)
Let’s get the potential record-breaking part out of the way first on this NFL Week 18 — Mahomes enters Saturday’s game against the Raiders with a whopping 5,048 passing yards, which is 430 yards short of “the Sherriff” Peyton Manning’s record of 5,477 back in 2013. While the Chiefs are in a must-win situation when it comes to potentially getting the No. 1 seed in the AFC, they are obviously aware of Mahomes’ chance to make history. While the 321.5 number is high, we expect it to rise. Mahomes is already averaging 315.5 passing yards per game this season and has passed for 320+ yards 10 times (nine of them since Week 6). Not to mention that he’s played well against the Raiders in his career, passing for 340 or more yards in four of his last seven. We see Patrick Mahomes breaking the single-season passing record on Saturday and will be taking his over 321.5 yards prop at MyBookie.
Derrick Henry (Titans) OVER 90.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
In back-to-back regular-season finales in 2019 and 2020, when the Titans had a chance to clinch a postseason berth, Henry was the definition of a workhorse. In 2019, he rushed 32 times for 211 yards and three touchdowns to clinch a Wild Card berth which ultimately took the Titans to the AFC Championship game that season. The following year he carried the ball 34 times for 250 yards and two touchdowns to clinch the AFC South in another win over Houston. Tennessee is nearly a touchdown underdog and will need to rely on their All-Pro workhorse running back to carry them across the finish line once again in a must-win game with the season on the line. You can find “King” Henry’s over 90.5 rushing yards prop right now at BetUS.
Christian Kirk (Jaguars) OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards (-126)
Christian Kirk has only gone over this number once in his last three games but he’s surpassed it nine different times this season. He leads the Jaguars’ wide receiver corps with 1,009 receiving yards on the season, 125 total targets, and 63.1 yards per game. The Titans are allowing the most passing attempts of any team in the league on the season and they’re tied for 5th in yards per attempt. Meanwhile, the Jags are top-10 in passing attempts, completions, and completion percentage on the season… which is why we imagine moving the ball through the air is going to be a huge point of emphasis for Jacksonville in Week 18. Let’s take Kirk’s over 62.5 receiving yards prop at BetOnline and enjoy this “winner take all” AFC South title bout which goes down on Saturday night.