Week 18 of the NFL schedule can be very tricky to handicap because it’s often difficult to determine the level of a team’s motivation. Saturday’s affair between the Titans and Jaguars has no such issue though since the winner of the game will win the AFC South and get a home playoff game the following week. The Titans have been struggling, having lost six straight while the Jags have won four in a row. The Jags are established as 6-and-a-half-point favorites. Based strictly on momentum, the Jags look like the play here, but in a “do or die” game like this one, we want to look toward taking the points. The Titans have been plagued by injuries lately and the nine-day layoff since they played Dallas is invaluable. The Jags though will have to play this one on a short week. Derrick Henry is a go and we think that can be the difference maker. Henry has owned the Jags in his career and if the Titans can get the run game going and work the clock, this should be a lower-scoring game in which 6 and a half points will be very nice to have in our back pocket. We’ll expect a big game from Henry and a Titans cover. We’ll play this one at Bovada.
Prediction: Tennessee Titans (+6.5)