Buffalo’s Josh Allen has had some issues with his elbow in recent weeks, and it seems to be affecting his accuracy. His ability to run the ball, however, is as strong as ever and he has gone over the posted rushing total of 46.5 in four of the last five games. In fact, three of them have gone over 78 yards as he continues to prove he is one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL. The Patriots have a strong pass rush but have proven vulnerable when a QB decides to take off, having given up over 100 yards on the ground to Lamar Jackson and 79 to Justin Fields. Allen will get his opportunities on the ground here and he’ll break a couple of big ones to push this over. Bovada is currently offering Allen’s rushing total at 46.5 (-130). We’ll play it there.